GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 2/11/2023, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Almagro are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Almirante Brown are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 0 of those 2 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and Almirante Brown hold an 11.1-point power-rating edge (45.0 v 56.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.4% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 15% BTTS chance and 8% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

54.4%

Model confidence

54.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AlmagroW

GF 1 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Almirante BrownW

GF 1 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
AlmagroAlmirante Brown
28.0Attack26.4
61.3Defence81.9
40.0Form52.8
45.0Power56.1
0.39xG0.58
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