GGOALVIO

Scotland · League One · 8/12/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Alloa Athletic · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Alloa Athletic are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Stirling Albion are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Stirling Albion hold a 4.0-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 40.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.1% in the League One, while Alloa Athletic holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Alloa Athletic

Probability

47.1%

Model confidence

47.1%

Alloa Athletic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Alloa AthleticWLWLL

GF 8 · GA 16 · avg 1.60/3.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Stirling AlbionWWWWD

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Alloa AthleticStirling Albion
0.0Attack35.1
83.3Defence47.4
16.7Form35.1
36.5Power40.5
1.45xG0.86
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