Alloa Athleticvs
Queen of the South
COMPLETEDScotland · League One · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alloa Athletic · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Alloa Athletic 0-1 Queen of the South
Original prediction
Alloa Athletic
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 11:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.71 | 53.5% | 54.0% | 0.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.82 | 23.9% | 24.5% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 4.06 | 22.5% | 21.4% | -1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Alloa Athletic
Probability
54.0%
Model confidence
54.0%
Alloa Athletic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60