Alloa Athleticvs
Peterhead
COMPLETEDScotland · League One · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alloa Athletic · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (14%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Alloa Athletic 1-1 Peterhead
Original prediction
Alloa Athletic
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.94 | 46.8% | 46.6% | -0.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.39 | 26.8% | 27.4% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 3.43 | 26.5% | 26.0% | -0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.39 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–014%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Alloa Athletic
Probability
46.6%
Model confidence
46.6%
Alloa Athletic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20