GGOALVIO

Scotland · League One · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Alloa Athletic · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Alloa Athletic are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Peterhead are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Peterhead hold a 16.5-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.6% in the League One, while Alloa Athletic holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Alloa Athletic

Probability

35.6%

Model confidence

14.6%

Alloa Athletic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Alloa AthleticWWLDL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
PeterheadWWWLD

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Alloa AthleticPeterhead
0.0Attack16.7
83.3Defence83.3
16.7Form50.0
36.5Power53.0
1.17xG1.11
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