League CupLeague Cup
Tuesday, 21 July 2026Last updated 10:05
Alloa Athletic

Alloa Athletic

Home
L
11
Full time
Falkirk

Falkirk

Away
LW
Recreation Park
GoalVio prediction
47% confidence
Falkirk(47%)
Most likely exact score1-2
Win probability
Alloa Athletic
31%
Draw
22%
Falkirk
47%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Alloa Athletic
9
Falkirk
86
Defence
Alloa Athletic
27
Falkirk
82
Momentum
Alloa Athletic
0
Falkirk
50
Danger (xG)
Alloa Athletic
0.00
Falkirk
2.25
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Alloa Athletic)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Falkirk)
2.25
avg per match
xG against (Alloa Athletic)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Falkirk)
0.45
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Alloa AthleticAlloa Athletic
LWWL
FalkirkFalkirk
LWLL

Probability breakdown

47% confidence
Alloa Athletic31%
Draw22%
Falkirk47%

Falkirk leads with 47% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Alloa Athletic head into this in League Cup fixture at Recreation Park in mixed form (L), while Falkirk arrive in mixed form (LW). Alloa Athletic have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 50% for Falkirk over 2 games.

Tactically, Falkirk hold the edge. Their elite attack (86/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Alloa Athletic defence (27/100), while Alloa Athletic's attack faces a watertight Falkirk backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Alloa Athletic have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 2.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game at home. Falkirk have won 1 of their last 2 away fixtures, averaging 2.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Alloa Athletic and Falkirk in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Falkirk to win with 47% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-2. Win probabilities: Alloa Athletic 3109%, Draw 2206%, Falkirk 4685%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Alloa Athletic

Alloa Athletic

L
@ Edinburgh City
14 Jul 2026
02
W
vs Civil Service Strollers
23 Jun 2026
50
W
@ Stenhousemuir
16 May 2026
10
L
vs Stenhousemuir
13 May 2026
03
Falkirk

Falkirk

L
vs Ayr Utd
14 Jul 2026
01
W
@ Edinburgh City
11 Jul 2026
50
L
vs Rangers
16 May 2026
25
L
@ Heart Of Midlothian
13 May 2026
02

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Alloa Athletic vs Falkirk?

GoalVio's model predicts Falkirk to win with 47% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Alloa Athletic vs Falkirk?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-2.

Will both teams score in Alloa Athletic vs Falkirk?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Alloa Athletic vs Falkirk?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more