GGOALVIO

Scotland · League One · 8/26/2023, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Falkirk · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Alloa Athletic are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Falkirk are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Falkirk hold a 44.3-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 80.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.5% in the League One, while Falkirk holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Falkirk

Probability

68.5%

Model confidence

68.5%

Falkirk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Alloa AthleticLLWLW

GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FalkirkWDWWL

GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Alloa AthleticFalkirk
0.0Attack88.9
83.3Defence74.1
16.7Form83.3
36.5Power80.7
0.66xG2.17
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