Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Allerød · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Allerød are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Vanløse are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Vanløse hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 88.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.5% in the DBU Pokalen, while Allerød holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Allerød
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
7.5%
Allerød has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00