Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: All Boys 0-0 San Telmo, with an exact score probability of 39%.
Prediction record
Final result
All Boys 0-1 San Telmo
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.69 | 54.2% | 40.1% | -14.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.13 | 29.2% | 38.1% | 8.9 pts |
| Away | 5.52 | 16.6% | 21.8% | 5.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.9 pts
Projected Score
All Boys 0–0 San Telmo
Exact score probability: 39%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
All BoysWDLWD
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
San TelmoDLWDL
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
All BoysSan Telmo
19.0Attack26.2
71.4Defence60.7
36.9Form33.3
45.2Power42.3
0.56xG0.41