GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 4/4/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

All Boys are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Ferro Carril Oeste are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Ferro Carril Oeste hold a 17.9-point power-rating edge (43.0 v 60.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.1% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 19% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

48.1%

Model confidence

48.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

All BoysDLWDL

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Ferro Carril OesteWLLDD

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
All BoysFerro Carril Oeste
19.4Attack41.3
68.1Defence69.3
33.3Form65.3
43.0Power60.9
0.41xG0.78
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