Alingsås Wvs
Trelleborg W
COMPLETEDSweden · Elitettan · 9/26/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Trelleborg W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%), 1-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Alingsås W 0-1 Trelleborg W
Original prediction
Trelleborg W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 20:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.30 | 27.1% | 23.8% | -3.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.61 | 24.8% | 23.6% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 1.87 | 48.0% | 52.6% | 4.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.87 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.0–28%
- 3.1–18%
Predicted outcome
Trelleborg W
Probability
52.6%
Model confidence
52.6%
Trelleborg W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40