GGOALVIO

Sweden · Elitettan · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Linköping W · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Alingsås W 1-2 Linköping W

Original prediction

Linköping W

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home6.7513.6%36.3%22.7 pts
Draw4.5020.4%26.1%5.7 pts
Away1.3966.0%37.6%-28.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.39 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-28.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.1–011%
  3. 3.2–110%

Predicted outcome

Linköping W

Probability

37.6%

Model confidence

37.6%

Linköping W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Alingsås WDWLDW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Linköping WLWWWW

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Alingsås WLinköping W
48.7Attack66.7
73.1Defence66.7
64.1Form100.0
63.2Power80.3
1.59xG1.00
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