Alingsås Wvs
Häcken II W
COMPLETEDSweden · Elitettan · 10/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alingsås W · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (15%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Alingsås W 2-0 Häcken II W
Original prediction
Alingsås W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 06:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.80 | 50.2% | 50.5% | 0.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 25.5% | 26.1% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.72 | 24.2% | 23.4% | -0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.80 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–015%
- 2.1–114%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Alingsås W
Probability
50.5%
Model confidence
50.5%
Alingsås W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80