ElitettanElitettan
Saturday, 1 August 202614:00Updated today
Alingsås W

Alingsås W

Home
L
vs
14:00
Enskede W

Enskede W

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
Too close to call
No clear favourite

The model sees this as an open match — all three outcomes are within a tight range.

Enskede W36%
Alingsås W35%
Draw29%
Most likely exact score0-1
Win probability
Alingsås W
35%
Draw
29%
Enskede W
36%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Alingsås W
9
Enskede W
94
Defence
Alingsås W
66
Enskede W
1
Momentum
Alingsås W
0
Enskede W
0
Danger (xG)
Alingsås W
0.00
Enskede W
2.70
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 1.33 xG for Alingsås W and 1.36 xG for Enskede W. Alingsås W's projected xG of 1.33 is not sufficient to make scoring a reliable expectation — the model does not see them generating enough high-quality chances to break through.The projected 0-1 scoreline features a clean sheet for one side. With only 1 goal expected in total, the match is projected to be a tight, low-scoring affair where one goal may be enough to decide the contest.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 2.69 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 0-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. Only 1 goal is expected in the most likely outcome — the model sees this as a tight, low-scoring contest where one goal could be decisive.

xG for (Alingsås W)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Enskede W)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Alingsås W)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Enskede W)
3.60
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Alingsås WAlingsås W
L
Enskede WEnskede W
L

Probability breakdown

37% confidence
Alingsås W35%
Draw29%
Enskede W36%

Enskede W leads with 36% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Share this

Analysis

Enskede W Narrow Edge — Model Projects 0-1

Alingsås W take on Enskede W in Elitettan.

Key factors

: ⚠️ Upset Risk Alingsås W have won 0 of their last 5 matches — a run of form that keeps this fixture competitive. While Enskede W carry the stronger underlying metrics, Alingsås W's recent results mean the gap is narrower than the headline verdict implies.

Why GoalVio backs this

Enskede W hold a slim but consistent edge across the key input metrics. No single factor clears the threshold required to claim a material advantage, but chance quality, defensive organisation, and recent form all point in the same direction — and when multiple independent signals align, that convergence is the model's case for Enskede W.

Biggest risk: The xG gap between these sides is narrow — a small swing in form, a set-piece goal, or a tactical adjustment could flip the result. The model favours Enskede W, but this is not a fixture where the outcome is a foregone conclusion. If Alingsås W score first, the game becomes genuinely open.

Risk factors

  • The xG gap is narrow at 0.03 — a small swing in form or tactics could flip the result.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Recent form

Alingsås W

Alingsås W

L
vs Elfsborg
15 May 2026
01
Enskede W

Enskede W

L
@ KIF Örebro
16 May 2026
34

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Alingsås W vs Enskede W?

GoalVio's model predicts Enskede W to win with 37% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Alingsås W vs Enskede W?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.

Will both teams score in Alingsås W vs Enskede W?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Alingsås W vs Enskede W?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

Explore more predictions

About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
View full accuracy stats →
Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more