Alianzavs
Santa Tecla
COMPLETEDEl-Salvador · Primera Division · 8/27/2023, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alianza · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Alianza are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (DWW), averaging 2.33 scored and 1.33 conceded, while Santa Tecla are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza hold a 16.2-point power-rating edge (51.0 v 34.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.3% in the Primera Division, while Alianza holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Alianza
Probability
59.3%
Model confidence
59.3%
Alianza has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 2.33/1.33
GF 0 · GA 3 · avg 0.00/1.50