Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Inter · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (13%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Alianza 2-2 Inter
Original prediction
Inter
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 18:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.33 | 38.7% | 30.2% | -8.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.07 | 29.3% | 27.6% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.81 | 32.0% | 42.2% | 10.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.07 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Inter
Probability
42.2%
Model confidence
42.2%
Inter has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AlianzaLDWDD
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
InterDLDDD
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
AlianzaInter
51.3Attack46.2
51.3Defence71.8
46.2Form53.8
51.7Power57.8
0.91xG1.25