Alianzavs
Inca Aruba
COMPLETEDEl-Salvador · Primera Division · 9/27/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alianza · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (15%), 1-0 (13%), 3-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Alianza 1-1 Inca Aruba
Original prediction
Alianza
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–015%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.3–010%
Predicted outcome
Alianza
Probability
60.8%
Model confidence
60.8%
Alianza has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AlianzaDWDLD
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Inca ArubaWLWWD
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
AlianzaInca Aruba
51.9Attack24.2
51.9Defence39.4
48.1Form33.3
52.4Power35.9
2.08xG0.63