Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alianza · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 9 October 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Alianza
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
45.5%
Alianza has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AlianzaDWDDW
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
ÁguilaWWLWW
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AlianzaÁguila
52.8Attack46.2
52.8Defence56.4
50.0Form43.6
54.0Power50.3
1.49xG1.18