Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FAS · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Alianza are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while FAS are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and FAS hold an 11.2-point power-rating edge (51.0 v 62.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the Primera Division, while FAS holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FAS
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
FAS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20