Alianza ValleduparvsUniversidad Catolica

Alianza Valledupar are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Universidad Catolica are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Universidad Catolica hold a 17.4-point power-rating edge (42.7 v 60.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.0% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Universidad Catolica holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.