Alianza ValleduparvsUnion La Calera

Alianza Valledupar are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Union La Calera are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 0.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza Valledupar hold a 3.5-point power-rating edge (42.7 v 39.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.2% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.