Alianza ValleduparvsIndependiente Medellin

Alianza Valledupar are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Independiente Medellin are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente Medellin hold an 18.9-point power-rating edge (37.0 v 55.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.4% in the Primera A, while Independiente Medellin holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.