Primera APrimera A
Sunday, 26 July 2026Last updated 12:41
Alianza Valledupar

Alianza Valledupar

Home
11
Full time
Fortaleza FC

Fortaleza FC

Away
L
Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau
GoalVio prediction
39% confidence
Alianza Valledupar(39%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction missed— Result: Draw
Win probability
Alianza Valledupar
39%
Draw
27%
Fortaleza FC
34%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Fortaleza FC)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Fortaleza FC)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC
L

Probability breakdown

39% confidence
Alianza Valledupar39%
Draw27%
Fortaleza FC34%

Alianza Valledupar leads with 39% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Alianza Valledupar head into this in Primera A fixture at Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau in unknown form, while Fortaleza FC arrive in mixed form (L).

Alianza Valledupar have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Fortaleza FC have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Alianza Valledupar and Fortaleza FC in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Alianza Valledupar to win with 39% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Alianza Valledupar 3865%, Draw 2748%, Fortaleza FC 3388%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Fortaleza FC

Fortaleza FC

L
@ Independiente Medellin
11 May 2026
01

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Alianza Valledupar vs Fortaleza FC?

GoalVio's model predicts Alianza Valledupar to win with 39% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Alianza Valledupar vs Fortaleza FC?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Alianza Valledupar vs Fortaleza FC?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Alianza Valledupar vs Fortaleza FC?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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