GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 2/17/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Alianza Valledupar · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Alianza Valledupar are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Cucuta are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza Valledupar hold a 2.0-point power-rating edge (37.0 v 35.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.9% in the Primera A, while Alianza Valledupar holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Alianza Valledupar

Probability

36.0%

Model confidence

14.9%

Alianza Valledupar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Alianza ValleduparDLDLL

GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
CucutaLLDDL

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Alianza ValleduparCucuta
25.8Attack36.4
50.0Defence34.8
27.3Form25.8
37.0Power35.0
1.08xG0.99
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