Alianza PetroleravsCruzeiro

Alianza Petrolera are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Cruzeiro are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Cruzeiro hold a 17.3-point power-rating edge (42.7 v 60.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.6% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Cruzeiro holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.