Alianza Universidadvs
Minas
COMPLETEDPeru · Segunda División · 9/6/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Minas · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Alianza Universidad 0-1 Minas, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Alianza Universidad 1-1 Minas
Original prediction
Minas
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.92 | 46.1% | 29.2% | -16.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 28.0% | 29.1% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 3.42 | 25.9% | 41.7% | 15.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.17 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.7 pts
Projected Score
Alianza Universidad 0–1 Minas
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Minas
Probability
41.7%
Model confidence
41.7%
Minas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Alianza UniversidadLWDDL
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MinasWDWWW
GF 18 · GA 5 · avg 3.60/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Alianza UniversidadMinas
40.5Attack52.4
59.5Defence73.8
45.2Form50.0
50.5Power57.5
0.67xG1.18