Alianza UniversidadvsComerciantes

Alianza Universidad are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Comerciantes are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Comerciantes hold an 8.1-point power-rating edge (52.5 v 60.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 25.6% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.