GGOALVIO

Peru · Segunda División · 5/2/2023, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Alianza Universidad · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Alianza Universidad are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 2.50 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Carlos Stein are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 3 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza Universidad hold a 33.5-point power-rating edge (52.5 v 19.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.8% in the Segunda División, while Alianza Universidad holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Alianza Universidad

Probability

70.8%

Model confidence

70.8%

Alianza Universidad has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Alianza UniversidadWW

GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 2.50/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Carlos SteinL

GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Alianza UniversidadCarlos Stein
39.4Attack33.3
66.7Defence2.6
45.5Form10.3
52.5Power19.0
2.14xG0.55
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