Alianza Universidadvs
Carlos A. Mannucci
COMPLETEDPeru · Segunda División · 10/17/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Carlos A. Mannucci · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Alianza Universidad 0-1 Carlos A. Mannucci, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Alianza Universidad 1-1 Carlos A. Mannucci
Original prediction
Carlos A. Mannucci
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 12:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.35 | 37.6% | 21.8% | -15.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.07 | 28.7% | 26.3% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 2.62 | 33.7% | 51.9% | 18.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.07 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
18.2 pts
Projected Score
Alianza Universidad 0–1 Carlos A. Mannucci
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Carlos A. Mannucci
Probability
51.9%
Model confidence
51.9%
Carlos A. Mannucci has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 16 · GA 3 · avg 3.20/0.60