Alianza Universidadvs
Bentín Tacna Heroica
COMPLETEDPeru · Segunda División · 9/27/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Alianza Universidad 0-0 Bentín Tacna Heroica, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Alianza Universidad 2-2 Bentín Tacna Heroica
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.04 | 43.6% | 31.5% | -12.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.08 | 28.9% | 31.4% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 3.24 | 27.5% | 37.1% | 9.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.08 · Draw 2.08 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.5 pts
Projected Score
Alianza Universidad 0–0 Bentín Tacna Heroica
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.4%
Model confidence
37.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00