GGOALVIO

Peru · Segunda División · 8/24/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Alianza Universidad are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Bentín Tacna Heroica are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Bentín Tacna Heroica hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (52.5 v 61.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 22.1% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.0%

Model confidence

22.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Alianza UniversidadDLWWL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Bentín Tacna HeroicaDWWWD

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Alianza UniversidadBentín Tacna Heroica
39.4Attack47.2
66.7Defence72.2
45.5Form61.1
52.5Power61.7
0.68xG0.89
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