Segunda DivisiónSegunda División
Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 12:43
Alianza Universidad

Alianza Universidad

Home
W
32
Full time
Ayacucho FC

Ayacucho FC

Away
Estadio Heraclio Tapia
GoalVio prediction
43% confidence
Alianza Universidad(43%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Alianza Universidad
43%
Draw
26%
Ayacucho FC
31%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Alianza Universidad)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Alianza Universidad)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Alianza UniversidadAlianza Universidad
W

Probability breakdown

43% confidence
Alianza Universidad43%
Draw26%
Ayacucho FC31%

Alianza Universidad leads with 43% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Alianza Universidad head into this in Segunda División fixture at Estadio Heraclio Tapia in mixed form (W), while Ayacucho FC arrive in unknown form.

Alianza Universidad have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game at home. Ayacucho FC have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between Alianza Universidad and Ayacucho FC in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Alianza Universidad to win with 43% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Alianza Universidad 4289%, Draw 2630%, Ayacucho FC 3081%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Alianza Universidad

Alianza Universidad

W
vs Estudiantil CNI
16 May 2026
20

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Alianza Universidad vs Ayacucho FC?

GoalVio's model predicts Alianza Universidad to win with 43% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Alianza Universidad vs Ayacucho FC?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Alianza Universidad vs Ayacucho FC?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Alianza Universidad vs Ayacucho FC?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more