GGOALVIO

Colombia · Copa Colombia · 2/15/2023, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Alianza Valledupar · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Alianza Valledupar are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Real Santander are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 4 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza Valledupar hold a 52.4-point power-rating edge (61.6 v 9.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.4% in the Copa Colombia, while Alianza Valledupar holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Alianza Valledupar

Probability

57.4%

Model confidence

57.4%

Alianza Valledupar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Alianza ValleduparWL

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 0/2O2.5 0/2
Real SantanderWD

GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 1.50/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 0/2
Alianza ValleduparReal Santander
50.0Attack8.3
75.0Defence0.0
58.3Form0.0
61.6Power9.3
2.02xG0.67
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