Alianza ValleduparvsOnce Caldas

Alianza Valledupar are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Once Caldas are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Once Caldas hold a 19.7-point power-rating edge (37.0 v 56.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.8% in the Primera A, while Once Caldas holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.