GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 8/24/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Alianza Petrolera are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Deportivo Pereira are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and alianza Petrolera hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (37.6 v 32.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the Primera A, favouring a draw with 24.6% confidence, a 27% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.6%

Model confidence

24.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Alianza ValleduparLLDWL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Deportivo PereiraDLWDW

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Alianza ValleduparDeportivo Pereira
23.8Attack23.8
52.4Defence47.6
28.6Form17.5
37.6Power32.6
0.83xG0.62
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