Alianza PetroleravsDeportivo Pasto

Alianza Petrolera are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Deportivo Pasto are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Pasto hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (37.0 v 48.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.1% in the Primera A, while Deportivo Pasto holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.