Alianza Valleduparvs
Bucaramanga
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 8/9/2026, 9:05:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bucaramanga · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Alianza Valledupar are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Bucaramanga are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Bucaramanga hold a 15.2-point power-rating edge (37.0 v 52.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.2% in the Primera A, while Bucaramanga holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bucaramanga
Probability
54.6%
Model confidence
19.2%
Bucaramanga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40