Alianza ValleduparvsAtletico Nacional

Alianza Valledupar are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Atletico Nacional are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Nacional hold a 31.8-point power-rating edge (37.0 v 68.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.3% in the Primera A, while Atletico Nacional holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.