GGOALVIO

Peru · Liga Women · 5/3/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Alianza Lima W · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Alianza Lima W are 3W-0D-0L in their last 3 (WWW), averaging 5.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while UNSAAC W are 1W-2D-1L in their last 4 (WLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza Lima W hold a 51.8-point power-rating edge (76.4 v 24.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.9% in the Liga Women, while Alianza Lima W holds the strongest overall chance at 94% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Alianza Lima W

Probability

93.9%

Model confidence

16.9%

Alianza Lima W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Alianza Lima WWWW

GF 15 · GA 0 · avg 5.00/0.00

BTTS 0/3O2.5 3/3
UNSAAC WWLDD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/4O2.5 1/4
Alianza Lima WUNSAAC W
94.1Attack23.8
78.4Defence23.8
74.5Form16.7
76.4Power24.6
4.50xG0.47
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