GGOALVIO

Peru · Liga Women · 5/17/2026, 8:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Alianza Lima W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Alianza Lima W are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 4.60 scored and 0.20 conceded, while U. de Deportes W are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 6.60 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and U. de Deportes W hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (76.4 v 79.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.2% in the Liga Women, while Alianza Lima W holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Alianza Lima W

Probability

42.5%

Model confidence

10.2%

Alianza Lima W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Alianza Lima WWWWWW

GF 23 · GA 1 · avg 4.60/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
U. de Deportes WWWWWW

GF 33 · GA 1 · avg 6.60/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 5/5
Alianza Lima WU. de Deportes W
94.1Attack100.0
78.4Defence82.4
74.5Form82.4
76.4Power79.5
1.89xG1.65
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