GGOALVIO

Peru · Liga Women · 5/30/2026, 8:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Alianza Lima W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Alianza Lima W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Sporting Cristal W are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 3.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza Lima W hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (76.4 v 70.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.6% in the Liga Women, while Alianza Lima W holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Alianza Lima W

Probability

56.1%

Model confidence

8.6%

Alianza Lima W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Alianza Lima WLDLWW

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Sporting Cristal WWWWLW

GF 18 · GA 4 · avg 3.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Alianza Lima WSporting Cristal W
94.1Attack100.0
78.4Defence59.6
74.5Form66.7
76.4Power70.8
2.56xG1.60
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