Alianza Lima Wvs
Atl. Andahuaylas W
COMPLETEDPeru · Liga Women · 9/6/2026, 8:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alianza Lima W · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 1-1 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Alianza Lima W 2-0 Atl. Andahuaylas W
Original prediction
Alianza Lima W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.20 | 75.0% | 52.9% | -22.1 pts |
| Draw | 5.51 | 16.3% | 25.2% | 8.9 pts |
| Away | 10.24 | 8.8% | 21.9% | 13.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.20 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-22.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.1–111%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Alianza Lima W
Probability
52.9%
Model confidence
52.9%
Alianza Lima W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 2 · avg 3.00/0.40
GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20