Alianza LimavsUTC Cajamarca

Alianza Lima are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while UTC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza Lima hold a 30.6-point power-rating edge (71.9 v 41.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.8% in the Primera División, while Alianza Lima holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.