Alianza LimavsUniversidad de Chile

Alianza Lima are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Universidad de Chile are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza Lima hold a 39.1-point power-rating edge (62.8 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.8% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Alianza Lima holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.