Alianza LimavsUniversidad Catolica

Alianza Lima are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Universidad Catolica are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza Lima hold a 2.7-point power-rating edge (62.8 v 60.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.4% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.