GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 2/12/2023, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Alianza Lima · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Alianza Lima are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LLW), averaging 0.67 scored and 2.33 conceded, while Sport Boys are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza Lima hold a 23.3-point power-rating edge (71.9 v 48.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.1% in the Primera División, while Alianza Lima holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Alianza Lima

Probability

58.1%

Model confidence

58.1%

Alianza Lima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Alianza LimaLLW

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.67/2.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 3/3
Sport BoysW

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Alianza LimaSport Boys
60.3Attack30.2
79.4Defence66.7
76.2Form42.9
71.9Power48.6
1.39xG0.40
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