Alianza Limavs
Sport Boys
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 2/21/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alianza Lima · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Alianza Lima are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Sport Boys are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza Lima hold a 23.3-point power-rating edge (71.9 v 48.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.1% in the Primera División, while Alianza Lima holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Alianza Lima
Probability
58.1%
Model confidence
58.1%
Alianza Lima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00