GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 1/24/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Alianza Lima · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Alianza Lima are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Inter Miami are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza Lima hold a 33.5-point power-rating edge (64.6 v 31.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Alianza Lima holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Alianza Lima

Probability

67.6%

Model confidence

9.9%

Alianza Lima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Alianza LimaDDWWD

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Inter MiamiWWWWL

GF 17 · GA 4 · avg 3.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Alianza LimaInter Miami
46.7Attack44.4
73.3Defence22.2
66.7Form22.2
64.6Power31.1
2.48xG1.00
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