Alianza LimavsGremio

Alianza Lima are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Gremio are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza Lima hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (62.8 v 53.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.1% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.