Alianza LimavsFBC Melgar

Alianza Lima are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while FBC Melgar are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza Lima hold a 14.1-point power-rating edge (71.9 v 57.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.0% in the Primera División, while Alianza Lima holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.