Alianza LimavsCultural Santa Rosa

Alianza Lima are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Cultural Santa Rosa are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza Lima hold a 12.3-point power-rating edge (71.9 v 59.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.8% in the Primera División, while Alianza Lima holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.